Classroom mode

Run it in class

Is a coin that just landed heads five times 'due' for tails?

Show of hands — before you project anything

Predict: after five heads in a row, is the next flip more likely to be tails? Write down your guess before we flip.

  • A Way more than you'd guess
  • B About what you'd guess
  • C Way less than you'd guess

Count the votes out loud. Hold them to it — then watch.

Project it (fullscreen)

Discussion prompts

  • Predict: after five heads in a row, is the next flip more likely to be tails? Write down your guess before we flip.
  • Predict: if we flip a thousand times, will the number of heads and the number of tails end up exactly equal? Then check the running tally.
  • Predict: does a longer streak of heads make tails 'more due'? Explain your reasoning, then test it.

Where it shows up in real life

  • A sports team on a losing streak that fans say is 'due' for a win
  • Board-game dice — 'we already rolled three sixes, no way we get another'
  • Lottery players who pick a number because it 'hasn't come up in a while'

A prediction-first worksheet — no answer key.

zero prep · no login · any projector

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